If the M2 has no 4wd option then a 6MT and DCT option might be possible, but yeah I mostly agree that it will be 6MT and ZF8.
Now as for 50/50, it isn't perfect. Ferrari have transaxles to keep a slight rear bias which helps with braking, nimbleness at corner entry and acceleration both in a straight line and at corner exits.
That combined with lower polar moment of inertia (ie keeping everything as close to the centre of the car as possible) will help massively. That's why Audi's are utter shit to drive, they are front heavy and they have a huge pendulum out the front which doesn't want to turn. 911s had the same issue but in reverse, fortunately Porsche is a capable company when it comes to engineering and they make amazing cars now, but that wasn't the case in the earlier ones.
https://www.autonews.com/article/200...t-distribution
Thats just one article but there are plenty of discussions if you do a bit of googling